Evolution Under Alternative Continuity Attack
The v3.1 falsification framework contained a critical vulnerability: the phrase “equivalent mechanisms to wages” created an opening for capital-redistribution schemes that preserve consumption capacity while abandoning productive participation. This version closes that loophole by clarifying what constitutes genuine system survival versus cosmetic continuity.
1. Redefining System Death vs. Functional Replacement
Post-WWII Capitalism is not defined merely by mass consumption capacity—it is defined by mass productive participation. The system dies when the majority of adults cannot contribute economically valuable labor, regardless of whether alternative income streams exist.
Key Distinction:
- System Survival: Mass productive participation where human effort creates economic value
- Functional Replacement: Mass consumption maintained through redistributive mechanisms
A National AI Dividend Fund represents functional replacement, not system survival. It preserves the consumption side while severing the production side permanently.
2. Enhanced Falsification Conditions [FINAL]
This section has been expanded to incorporate the Boundary Collapse Clause, which addresses the claim that international coordination could preserve human economic relevance. Because AI erodes task boundaries continuously, no coordination regime can define or enforce ‘human-only zones.’
To falsify this framework, show ALL of the following simultaneously:
Cognitive Ladder Restoration
Show that new cognitive work categories can emerge that are:
- AI-resistant for the foreseeable future (not just temporarily)
- Wage-sustaining at middle-class levels ($40k+ annually)
- Scalable to employ tens of millions
- Productive (creating economic value, not just redistributing it)
Mass Productive Participation
Show that 50%+ of working-age adults can obtain employment that:
- Requires human cognitive or physical capabilities that remain economically superior to AI alternatives
- Provides genuine economic value creation (not makework or subsidized positions)
- Offers pathways to skill development and wage advancement
- Cannot be easily arbitraged away through jurisdictional competition
Coordination Solution
Show that the Multiplayer Prisoner’s Dilemma can be solved through:
- Binding international agreements that prevent competitive defection
- Enforcement mechanisms that cannot be circumvented through regulatory arbitrage
- Sustainable political coalitions that resist capture by AI-owning elites
- Economic incentives that make cooperation more profitable than defection
- Stable Task Boundaries that can be clearly defined and enforced
The last condition is decisive. Unlike nuclear arms control, which dealt with discrete countable objects, AI erodes every boundary between “permitted augmentation” and “forbidden automation.” Spell-check becomes drafting; drafting becomes full composition; composition becomes decision-making. Each partial allowance becomes a staging ground for total substitution.
Because task categories blur continuously, no treaty can define durable “human-only zones.” Any coordination regime collapses not only under defection pressure (the Multiplayer Prisoner’s Dilemma) but under definitional incoherence. The impossibility of drawing and policing boundaries between human and machine work makes meaningful coordination structurally impossible.
Democratic Economic Agency
Show that political democracy can function when:
- 50%+ of the population depends on redistributive transfers rather than productive employment
- Economic value creation is concentrated in AI systems controlled by <5% of the population
- The masses lack economic leverage to influence political outcomes
- Traditional labor organizing becomes impossible due to employment scarcity
3. Why Capital Redistribution Fails the Test
The Productive Participation Requirement
A dividend system fails because it creates economic citizenship without economic agency. Recipients consume but do not produce. This is feudalism with better marketing.
The Coordination Impossibility
Any jurisdiction implementing significant AI taxation faces immediate competitive disadvantage. The MPPD ensures that:
- Companies relocate to lower-tax jurisdictions
- AI development concentrates in tax havens
- Dividend-implementing regions become dependent on declining tax bases
- The system collapses through competitive defection
The Capture Problem
The political economy assumption underlying dividend schemes—that AI-owning elites will voluntarily redistribute their rents—contradicts 40 years of evidence showing elite capture of democratic institutions.
The Arbitrage Reality
Unlike VAT (which taxes consumption and cannot be easily avoided), AI profit taxes can be circumvented through:
- Transfer pricing manipulation
- Offshore incorporation
- Intellectual property licensing schemes
- Jurisdictional arbitrage
- Technical infrastructure relocation
4. The Mathematical Constraint
The thesis operates under mathematical, not political, constraints. Even perfect political will cannot overcome:
C1: Unit Cost Dominance AI + minimal human oversight achieves lower unit costs than human-only workflows across cognitive domains.
C2: Competitive Defection Any actor that fails to adopt cost-minimizing AI deployment loses market position to competitors who do.
C3: Coordination Failure No mechanism exists to enforce universal adoption of economically suboptimal (human-preserving) choices across all relevant actors.
Result: Mass cognitive unemployment occurs regardless of policy preferences.
5. Closing the Loophole: Survival vs. Replacement
The v3.1 vulnerability emerged from conflating system survival with outcome preservation. The corrected framework distinguishes:
System Survival Requires:
- Mass productive employment at living wages
- Human labor that creates genuine economic value
- Sustainable competitive advantages for human workers
- Democratic participation rooted in economic leverage
Outcome Preservation Accepts:
- Alternative income sources (dividends, transfers, UBI)
- Economic irrelevance of human labor
- Concentration of productive capacity in AI systems
- Political dependency on elite redistribution
Verdict: Capital redistribution schemes constitute replacement, not survival. They represent post-capitalist economic arrangements that may be superior to mass unemployment, but they are not continuations of the post-WWII system.
6. Implications for Transition Strategy
This framework shift has strategic implications:
For Policymakers: Stop trying to “save” the current system. Focus on managing the transition to whatever comes next.
For Workers: Develop skills in AI-resistant domains, but recognize that long-term security lies in capital ownership, not labor.
For Researchers: Study the political economy of transitions between economic systems, not the economics of system preservation.
For Civilization: Prepare for fundamental questions about human purpose, political organization, and resource distribution in a post-labor society.
7. Final Mathematical Formulation
P1: Cognitive Automation Dominance AI systems achieve cost and performance superiority across cognitive work, eliminating human competitive advantages.
P2: Coordination Impossibility No mechanism can enforce universal adoption of economically suboptimal (human-preserving) practices across competitive actors.
P3: Productive Participation Collapse The majority of humans cannot contribute economically valuable labor regardless of consumption-supporting mechanisms.
Result: Post-WWII capitalism dies. Alternative systems may emerge, but they constitute replacement, not survival.
8. Conclusion: Death Certificate Finalized
The age of mass productive employment ends with AI’s cognitive dominance. Alternative economic arrangements—dividend capitalism, UBI feudalism, techno-socialism—may provide superior outcomes for human welfare, but they are not capitalism’s survival.
They are its successors.
The Discontinuity Thesis documents a death, not a transformation. What emerges afterward is a separate question requiring separate analysis.
The patient is dead. The autopsy is complete. The cause of death: cognitive obsolescence in a competitive economy.
Time of death: When the last human worker becomes more expensive than their AI replacement.
The loophole is closed. The framework holds.
The last illusion to fall is the belief in stable boundaries. Some argue that coordination could preserve “human-only zones” the way nuclear treaties preserved deterrence. But AI does not respect categories. Spell-check becomes drafting, drafting becomes full composition, composition becomes decision-making. Each fragment automated makes the whole inevitable. Unlike missiles, tasks cannot be counted or frozen. Boundaries dissolve into gradients, and gradients slide into total substitution. There is nothing left to cordon off. The cage closes from the inside.