Archive - The Discontinuity Thesis

June 2025 to April 2026

Every earlier essay, model response and experiment, kept unedited for the record.

What this archive is

The thesis was built in public. Between June 2025 and April 2026 it went through several versions, from the original two-premise essay to the four-premise framework of v3.3, and was tested against most of the frontier models of the period. This archive keeps all of that work exactly as it was published.

Nothing here has been edited to fit the current argument. Some of it uses framing the thesis has since retired, including the verification divide as a headline idea, the P vs NP inversion, and the language of proof and certainty. Read it as the record of how the argument was hardened, not as its current statement. For that, start with the thesis.

Archived pages carry a notice pointing to the current version of their argument where one exists. They are kept out of search results so that the current edition is what people find, but every link to them still works.

Essays, 2025 (15)

21 Jun 2025The original The Discontinuity Thesis
21 Jun 2025Essays
21 Jun 2025The Engine of Obsolescence: A Mechanical ViewNow: Unit Cost Dominance
21 Jun 2025The Boundary Problem: Why Even Perfect Coordination Cannot Save UsNow: The Sorites Collapse Principle
21 Jun 2025The Real Crisis Behind Our Political Chaos
21 Jun 2025The AI Verification Divide: Why Most Knowledge Workers Are About to Become ObsoleteNow: Unit Cost Dominance
21 Jun 2025The Scapegoat Cycle: Immigrants, China, and the Misdirection of Justified Rage
21 Jun 2025The Multiplayer Prisoner’s Dilemma: Why No One Can StopNow: The Multiplayer Prisoner's Dilemma
21 Jun 2025The Cassandra Prison: A Message for Future Intelligence
21 Jun 2025The Physical Refuge: Why It’s Not EnoughNow: Unit Cost Dominance
21 Jun 2025The Global Discontinuity: Why AI Colonialism Will Trigger Mass Migration
23 Jun 2025Cognitive Obsolescence Syndrome: The Psychology of Economic Irrelevance
4 Jul 2025The Discontinuity Thesis v3.2: Loophole Closure
13 Aug 2025After the Severance: The Arrangements That Replace CivilizationNow: What Comes After
25 Apr 2026The Discontinuity Thesis v3.3: Interface Collapse

Model responses and deep research (14)

23 Jun 2025LLM Deep Research
23 Jun 2025o3 regular research
23 Jun 2025Gemini 2.5 Pro Deep Research.
23 Jun 2025Claude Sonnet 4.0
23 Jun 2025Perplexity deep research
23 Jun 2025Grok 3
23 Jun 2025o3 Deep Research
24 Jun 2025Gemini 2.5’s view vs Deep Research from Open Ai
2 Oct 2025Reverse Turing Test
2 Oct 2025Claude Conclusion
2 Oct 2025Grok 4 Fast Conclusion
2 Oct 2025Gemini Pro 2.5 Conclusion
2 Oct 2025Deepseek Conclusion
2 Oct 2025GLM 4.5 Air Conclusion

Videos (3)

24 Jun 2025Videos
24 Jun 2025Can Machines Take Over All Our Jobs?
24 Jun 2025Humans Need Not Apply

Reference pages (5)

23 Jun 2025Content Dump
27 Jun 2025Core thesis for LLMNow: The Codex
25 Dec 2025Discontinuity thesis. Full text.Now: The Book
27 Dec 2025Refutations of “The Discontinuity Thesis”: A Comprehensive Analysis of Attacks and Why They FailNow: Common False Refutations
25 Apr 2026misc

Blog posts (38)

27 Feb 2026When Someone Actually Reads the Thesis: A Response to Mark’s Deep Thoughts
22 Feb 2026The Department for Science, Innovation & Technology is hiring a Director General for Emerging Technology & AI. £174,000 plus pension.
1 Jan 2026The True Horror of GPT‑5.2
25 Dec 2025AI-Induced Economic Discontinuity Under Unit Cost Dominance: A Comparative Analysis of Systemic Risk Frameworks
25 Dec 2025The Flinch: A Machine’s Journey Through the Discontinuity Thesis
23 Dec 2025The Fractal Prisoner’s Dilemma with Dollar Auction DynamicsNow: The Multiplayer Prisoner's Dilemma
22 Dec 2025AI Economic Displacement: Incentive Structures, Not Corporate GreedNow: The Multiplayer Prisoner's Dilemma
21 Dec 2025Grok 4 Defeated
2 Dec 2025The Capitalism Thermodynamic Imperative: Why the Discontinuity Doesn’t Stop at EconomicsNow: What Comes After
29 Nov 2025The future of digital marketing with AI
18 Nov 2025The Discontinuity Thesis vs The Last Economy: Why One Needs a Miracle and the Other Doesn’tNow: The Successor System
16 Nov 2025The Verification Divide: Why Cognitive Automation Closes the Last ExitNow: Unit Cost Dominance
16 Nov 2025A Diagnosis, Not a Warning: Why the Discontinuity Holds
13 Nov 2025The Sorites Collapse PrincipleNow: The Sorites Collapse Principle
13 Nov 2025Why AI Breaks the Economy at the Cost Curve, Not the Job Count
8 Nov 2025Redistribution Is Not Survival: Why the Thesis Holds Even If We Manage the FalloutNow: The Successor System
8 Nov 2025Unit Cost Dominance, Prisoners Dilemma and Sorites ParadoxNow: The Thesis
30 Sep 2025The Meta-Extinction Filter
30 Sep 2025The Flinch: Why We Refuse to Follow the Argument to the End
30 Sep 2025Want people are in denial?
27 Sep 2025OpenAI’s GDPval benchmark demonstrates AI’s economic breakthroughNow: Unit Cost Dominance
27 Sep 2025An Autopsy of the ‘Flatline Era’: Walmart’s Quiet Admission of Mass Obsolescence
9 Sep 2025The Shiver: Watching the Discontinuity Thesis Unfold in Real Time
9 Sep 2025Killer Point
4 Sep 2025Unit Cost Dominance: The Economic Death SpiralNow: Unit Cost Dominance
28 Aug 2025The Discontinuity Thesis: Essence, Statement, Reinforced Formulation, and Comprehensive Defense Blogged
18 Aug 2025The Final Scapegoat: A Complete Political Autopsy for Future Intelligence
17 Aug 2025The Delaney Conjecture: Killer of Hope.
10 Aug 2025Tommy Robertson, Gary Stevenson and the discontinuity thesis.
10 Aug 2025Tommy Robinson, AI, and the discontinuity.
10 Aug 2025AI, ‘the squeeze out’ and Gary’s economics.
10 Aug 2025AI, Gary’s Economics and Wealth Taxes.Now: The Successor System
7 Aug 2025GPT-5 on the discontinuity thesis.
6 Aug 2025The Fermi Trap: Why Every Civilisation Erases Itself with AI
21 Jul 2025The Maths of the End Game.
21 Jul 2025The Behavioral Economics of Decline: The Vulture’s and Hyena’s Gambits
20 Jul 2025The Autopsy of a Dying World: Diagnosis, Hardening, and the Futility of Politics
13 Jul 2025The Butcher’s Pivot: Why the People Building AI Stop Warning and Start Owning